U.S. Senate (GA)
Incumbent defending · 2026 cycle
Market
Daily Kalshi price history
Daily Kalshi price history. Jon Ossoff 95%, Mike Collins 5%.
The race in 60 seconds
- Incumbent Senator Jon Ossoff faces challenger Mike Collins in a closely contested Georgia Senate race.
- Ossoff holds a substantial lead in fundraising and public polling as he seeks another term.
- The state of Georgia remains highly competitive, often decided by very narrow margins in recent national and local elections.
Can they win this race
Senator Ossoff is the clear favorite to retain his seat because his massive fundraising advantage and consistent polling lead outweigh the state's narrow historical preference for Republicans.
Who's lining up behind each side
Senator Ossoff holds a decisive advantage in mobilization, as his deep coalition of national advocacy groups and superior financial backing provides a significantly stronger infrastructure for voter outreach.
What could go wrong
The severe $90.6 million fundraising gap is the most significant obstacle, as it limits Mike Collins's ability to define his message or effectively reach voters before election day.
Who fits the moment
Senator Ossoff is better positioned for the current electorate because his moderate, institutionally-focused appeal aligns with the razor-thin margins seen in recent statewide election results.
Money
Excludes $22,815,173.73 from 285,456 donors who listed no occupation, or listed retired or not employed.
Excludes $1,947,549.72 from 27,852 donors who listed no occupation, or listed retired or not employed.
Key contrasts
Voted against party leadership on specific economic/utility bills.
advocates tax cuts, no tax on tips, and deregulation
1 of 6
| Issue | Jon Ossoff | Mike Collins |
|---|---|---|
| Economy and taxes | MixedVoted against party leadership on specific economic/utility bills. | Supportsadvocates tax cuts, no tax on tips, and deregulation |
| Healthcare | SupportsSupports ACA subsidies and opposes government shutdowns. | Supportsprioritizes rural access, price transparency, and drug cost reduction |
| Abortion and social issues | SupportsSupports abortion rights and codification of Roe v. Wade. | Supportssupports Georgia's six-week abortion ban with exceptions |
| Democracy and elections | SupportsFocuses on reelection; denies interest in 2028 presidential run. | Supportsaligned with Trump; struggles with viability and base-only support |
| Immigration and border | SupportsSupports bipartisan border security and fentanyl interdiction. | Supportssponsored Laken Riley Act; advocates strict border enforcement |
| Foreign policy and defense | OpposesVoted to block specific arms sales to Israel. | Supportssupports Trump-era Iran policy and AI competition with China |
Electoral history
| Cycle | Race | Dem | Rep | Margin | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | President | 49.9% | 50.1% | R+0.2 | 72.9% |
| 2024 | House | 47.5% | 52.5% | R+5.0 | 72.9% |
| 2022 | Governor | 45.9% | 53.4% | R+7.5 | 57.0% |
| 2022 | House | 47.7% | 52.3% | R+4.6 | 57.0% |
| 2020 | President | 50.7% | 49.3% | D+1.4 | 66.2% |