Markets, policy, and risk increasingly hinge on individual behavior. Conspectus Intelligence makes that behavior legible.
A general model gives you prose that fits any question. A system built on the people who decide gives you evidence that moves your position.
01Ingestion
Wires, filings, transcripts, market data, newsletters, and feeds stream in from thousands of sources.
02Extraction
Items are broken into claims cited and resolved to the people, institutions, and relationships they touch.
03Relationship graph
A knowledge base carrying the state, history, and direction of each relationship.
04Resources
The data models on the people who decide and the live context in which they decide.
Iran · what happens next · most likely of 4 scenarios
When an event hinges on one person’s call, get sharper odds than the market is pricing.
Learn more{
"pair_id": "putin__trump",
"as_of": "2026-08-02",
"confidence_tier": "Corroborated",
"power_balance": { "direction": "a_over_b",
"magnitude": "slight" },
"current_state": "Active but strained transactional
diplomacy: regular direct contact over a
Ukraine ceasefire; Trump presses for a deal,
Putin holds maximalist demands.",
"transitions": [
{ "period": "2025–2026", "change": "High-frequency direct
contact; tactical gestures from Putin,
conditions unchanged." },
…
]
}Rehearse a crisis against modeled opponents - and see their likely countermoves before you commit.
Learn moreMatched retaliation within days, then a negotiated pause. Both precedents, 2018 and 2019, ran the same sequence.
How has this competitor answered a move like yours before? Their likely responses, ranked.
Learn moreRival since 2019. Manchester was their first public meeting since.
Decades of your own reporting, indexed - every name in today’s story arrives with its history.
Learn moreStrikes on shipping in the Strait; two independent wires confirm, one claim unverified.
Ten tabs of breaking news, collapsed into one ranked read you can actually trade on.
Learn more