Open seat · 2026 cycle
13 days until the next FEC filing deadline.
Daily Kalshi price history
Daily Kalshi price history. Everett Wess 3%, Barry Moore 98%.
Barry Moore holds a commanding advantage because his massive financial and institutional backing aligns with the state's long-standing preference for Republican candidates in statewide elections.
Barry Moore’s superior organizational capacity and extensive outside financial backing are far more likely to mobilize the electorate than the localized, institutionally isolated effort of his opponent.
The recurring legal and compliance issues surrounding Barry Moore represent a persistent vulnerability that, if amplified, could damage his standing despite his strong political position.
Barry Moore’s political archetype is a much stronger fit for the state's electorate, which consistently demonstrates a deep and overwhelming preference for conservative platforms.
Excludes $750 from 3 donors who listed no occupation, or listed retired or not employed.
supports flat tax, cutting spending, and tax-free tips
proposes raising minimum wage and eliminating taxes on tips
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| Issue | Barry Moore | Everett Wess |
|---|---|---|
| Economy and taxes | Supportssupports flat tax, cutting spending, and tax-free tips | Supportsproposes raising minimum wage and eliminating taxes on tips |
| Healthcare | Opposessupports ACA repeal and increasing consumer choice in insurance | Supportsadvocates for rural hospital funding and affordability |
| Abortion and social issues | Supportssupports federal abortion bans and restrictions on IVF access | Supportssupports reproductive freedom and equal justice |
| Democracy and elections | Supportscampaigns as a Trump-aligned conservative and MAGA warrior | Avoidsfaces uphill climb in solidly Republican state |
| Immigration and border | Supportssupports zero-tolerance, border wall, and deporting undocumented immigrants | Supportssupports law enforcement and funding for immigration courts |
| Foreign policy and defense | Mixedopposes Ukraine aid; skeptical of Netanyahu's influence on Trump | Supportssupports Israeli security and humanitarian aid for Gaza |
| Cycle | Race | Dem | Rep | Margin | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | President | 34.1% | 64.6% | R+30.5 | 58.5% |
| 2024 | House | Not enough evidence | |||
| 2022 | Governor | 29.2% | 66.9% | R+37.7 | 38.5% |
| 2022 | House | Not enough evidence | |||
| 2020 | President | 36.6% | 62.0% | R+25.5 | 63.1% |