U.S. Senate (DE)
Incumbent defending · 2026 cycle
Market
Daily Kalshi price history
Daily Kalshi price history. Chris Coons 99%, Micheal Katz 1%.
The race in 60 seconds
- Chris Coons is a three-term incumbent running for re-election in Delaware, a state that has consistently favored Democratic candidates in recent presidential and congressional elections.
- Micheal Katz, a former state senator, is the Republican challenger and emphasizes his background in business and medicine while aligning with conservative populist positions.
- The race is characterized by a massive gap in resources, with Coons raising significantly more money and holding endorsements from numerous major advocacy groups.
Can they win this race
Incumbent Chris Coons’s massive financial advantage and the state’s consistent history of electing Democrats make a victory for Micheal Katz mathematically improbable.
Who's lining up behind each side
Coons’s extensive network of national and local interest group endorsements is far better positioned to mobilize voters than Katz’s limited institutional support.
What could go wrong
Katz’s extreme dependence on self-funding amidst a severe fundraising deficit is the most pressing vulnerability, as it leaves him unable to build the necessary statewide organization.
Who fits the moment
Coons’s focus on establishment policy expertise is a superior fit for the state’s current electorate, which has consistently produced double-digit Democratic margins in recent years.
Money
Excludes $537,658.34 from 1,867 donors who listed no occupation, or listed retired or not employed.
Excludes $12,682.51 from 28 donors who listed no occupation, or listed retired or not employed.
Key contrasts
Supports Billionaires Income Tax; focuses on deficit reduction.
supports pro-growth tax cuts and reduced federal spending
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| Issue | Chris Coons | Micheal Katz |
|---|---|---|
| Economy and taxes | SupportsSupports Billionaires Income Tax; focuses on deficit reduction. | Supportssupports pro-growth tax cuts and reduced federal spending |
| Healthcare | SupportsProtects ACA; opposes Medicaid cuts; supports drug price reform. | Supportssupports replacing ACA with market-based, transparent reforms |
| Abortion and social issues | SupportsSupports abortion rights; 100% Planned Parenthood rating. | Opposesopposes government interference in individual healthcare decisions |
| Democracy and elections | SupportsSupports filibuster reform; acknowledges party communication failures. | Supportsadvocates for term limits and defeating the incumbent |
| Immigration and border | SupportsSupports TPS extensions; opposes restrictive border legislation. | Supportssupports strict enforcement, wall completion, and ending sanctuary policies |
| Foreign policy and defense | SupportsSupports AI chip export controls; opposes BDS movement. | Supportssupports robust military, deterrence, and veterans' benefits reform |
Electoral history
| Cycle | Race | Dem | Rep | Margin | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | President | 57.6% | 42.4% | D+15.2 | 65.7% |
| 2024 | House | 57.9% | 42.1% | D+15.8 | 65.7% |
| 2024 | Governor | 56.1% | 43.9% | D+12.1 | 65.7% |
| 2022 | House | 55.4% | 42.9% | D+12.5 | — |
| 2020 | President | 59.6% | 40.4% | D+19.2 | 68.7% |