U.S. Senate (MS)
Incumbent defending · 2026 cycle
13 days until the next FEC filing deadline.
Market
Daily Kalshi price history
Daily Kalshi price history. Scott Colom 11%, Cindy Hyde-Smith 90%.
The race in 60 seconds
- Incumbent Cindy Hyde-Smith is running for re-election against Democratic District Attorney Scott Colom.
- Mississippi has a long history of voting for Republicans, with the 2024 presidential election showing a 22.89% margin in favor of the Republican candidate.
- Hyde-Smith holds a major fundraising advantage, having raised more than twice the amount of money compared to her opponent.
Can they win this race
The incumbent’s significant fundraising lead and alignment with a deeply Republican state history create a difficult path for the challenger, who struggles to bridge the massive gap between his base and the state's traditional voting patterns.
Who's lining up behind each side
Hyde-Smith’s alignment with Trump provides a more reliable mobilization force among the state's conservative base than Colom’s fragmented, mostly outside-funded support.
What could go wrong
The long-standing Republican control of this seat and Colom's ideological contradictions create a heavy burden that is more likely to impact his performance than the incumbent's unresolved controversies.
Who fits the moment
Hyde-Smith’s focus on established rural priorities aligns far more effectively with the state's voting history than Colom’s attempts to appeal to moderate voters in a heavily Republican environment.
Money
Excludes $809,851.86 from 1,662 donors who listed no occupation, or listed retired or not employed.
Excludes $577,734.63 from 1,356 donors who listed no occupation, or listed retired or not employed.
Key contrasts
Supports tax cuts, deregulation, and domestic energy production.
proposes tax exemptions for teachers and police officers
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| Issue | Cindy Hyde-Smith | Scott Colom |
|---|---|---|
| Economy and taxes | SupportsSupports tax cuts, deregulation, and domestic energy production. | Supportsproposes tax exemptions for teachers and police officers |
| Healthcare | OpposesOpposes ACA; supports rural hospital funding and Medicare reform. | Supportssupports Medicaid expansion and restoring federal healthcare funding |
| Abortion and social issues | SupportsPro-life; leads Senate Pro-Life Caucus; opposes abortion access. | Opposesopposes transgender girls in sports and gender-affirming surgery for minors |
| Democracy and elections | SupportsSupports voter ID, SAVE Act; blocked Colom judicial nomination. | Supportslongshot challenger with significantly less funding than incumbent |
| Immigration and border | SupportsSupports border wall, ending catch-and-release, and strict enforcement. | Supportssupports border security while emphasizing due process rights |
| Foreign policy and defense | SupportsSupports 'Peace Through Strength'; leads Defense Appropriations Subcommittee. | Opposesopposes unauthorized military action; calls for congressional oversight |
Electoral history
| Cycle | Race | Dem | Rep | Margin | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | President | 38.0% | 60.9% | R+22.9 | 57.5% |
| 2024 | House | Not enough evidence | |||
| 2023 | Governor | 47.7% | 50.9% | R+3.2 | 42.6% |
| 2022 | House | Not enough evidence | |||
| 2020 | President | 41.1% | 57.6% | R+16.5 | 60.4% |