U.S. Senate (SC)
Incumbent defending · 2026 cycle
13 days until the next FEC filing deadline.
Market
Daily Kalshi price history
Daily Kalshi price history. Annie Andrews 13%, Darline Graham 88%.
The race in 60 seconds
- This open-seat race follows the death of the incumbent senator.
- Republican nominee Darline Graham carries national endorsements and significant outside funding support.
- Democratic challenger Annie Andrews holds a massive fundraising advantage, raising thirty-one times more money than her opponent.
Can they win this race
Annie Andrews faces a difficult path because the state consistently supports Republican candidates by large margins, suggesting her massive fundraising advantage may not be enough to overcome the electorate's partisan preference.
Who's lining up behind each side
Darline Graham’s institutional support from national figures and heavy outside spending likely offers a more reliable pathway to securing votes than the volunteer-led effort supporting Annie Andrews.
What could go wrong
The lack of experience in high-pressure political environments is the most significant vulnerability for Annie Andrews heading into election day.
Who fits the moment
Darline Graham’s profile as a conservative-aligned appointee is better positioned to capture the majority of voters in a state that has shown such a strong preference for Republican candidates.
Money
Excludes $43,613.6 from 62 donors who listed no occupation, or listed retired or not employed.
Excludes $2,307,885.42 from 22,854 donors who listed no occupation, or listed retired or not employed.
Key contrasts
supports tax cuts and balanced budget amendment
supports affordability plan; federal gas tax suspension
1 of 6
| Issue | Darline Graham | Annie Andrews |
|---|---|---|
| Economy and taxes | Supportssupports tax cuts and balanced budget amendment | Supportssupports affordability plan; federal gas tax suspension |
| Healthcare | Opposesopposes government-run healthcare, emphasizes affordability | Supportssupports Medicaid expansion; patient-centered healthcare model |
| Abortion and social issues | Supportssupports 6-week ban and national restrictions | Supportssupports abortion access; codifying Roe v. Wade |
| Democracy and elections | No recordappointed incumbent, no prior elected office experience | Supportsemphasizes authenticity; supports ethics reform, no PACs |
| Immigration and border | Supportsadvocates for immediate deportation of all illegal immigrants | Supportssupports reform combining border security and citizenship paths |
| Foreign policy and defense | Avoidsadmitted lack of expertise and focus on national security | Opposesopposes Iran war; prioritizes diplomacy and school safety |
Electoral history
| Cycle | Race | Dem | Rep | Margin | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | President | 41.2% | 58.2% | R+17.0 | 76.8% |
| 2024 | House | 39.5% | 60.5% | R+21.0 | 76.8% |
| 2022 | Governor | 40.7% | 58.0% | R+17.4 | 50.9% |
| 2022 | House | 32.3% | 65.9% | R+33.6 | 50.9% |
| 2020 | President | 44.3% | 55.1% | R+10.8 | 72.1% |