U.S. Senate (WV)
Incumbent defending · 2026 cycle
Market
Daily Kalshi price history
Daily Kalshi price history. Rachel Fetty Anderson 3%, Shelley Moore Capito 98%.
The race in 60 seconds
- Incumbent Shelley Moore Capito is seeking reelection against challenger Rachel Fetty Anderson in a state that strongly favors the Republican party.
- Capito leverages her position as a high-ranking Senate Republican and Committee chair to maintain a significant financial and endorsements-based lead.
- Anderson is running a volunteer-driven, progressive populist campaign that focuses on grassroots organizing in specific university and urban areas.
Can they win this race
Shelley Moore Capito holds an insurmountable electoral advantage that effectively guarantees her reelection regardless of any shift in the national environment.
Who's lining up behind each side
Shelley Moore Capito’s alignment with dominant national political figures and established funding streams creates a decisive ground-game advantage that her opponent’s niche coalition cannot match.
What could go wrong
Neither candidate faces a material personal vulnerability, ensuring that the final outcome will be determined entirely by the state's established political loyalties rather than individual shortcomings.
Who fits the moment
Capito’s platform is perfectly aligned with the state's established ideological preferences, while Anderson’s progressive message lacks the broad appeal necessary to compete in this environment.
Money
Excludes $437,691.72 from 1,270 donors who listed no occupation, or listed retired or not employed.
Excludes $19,549.18 from 38 donors who listed no occupation, or listed retired or not employed.
Key contrasts
Promotes energy dominance, deregulation, and coal industry jobs.
breaking up corporate monopolies and suppressing wage suppression
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| Issue | Shelley Moore Capito | Rachel Fetty Anderson |
|---|---|---|
| Economy and taxes | SupportsPromotes energy dominance, deregulation, and coal industry jobs. | Opposesbreaking up corporate monopolies and suppressing wage suppression |
| Healthcare | SupportsFocuses on opioid crisis funding and mental health services. | Supportssingle-payer healthcare and Medicare for All |
| Abortion and social issues | SupportsConservative record; A+ rating from SBA Pro-Life America. | Supportscodifying Roe v. Wade and the Equal Rights Amendment |
| Democracy and elections | SupportsSupports SAVE Act; opposes 2020 election re-litigation. | Supportslimiting corporate money and implementing term limits |
| Immigration and border | SupportsPrioritizes southern border security and DHS funding. | Supportsreining in federal powers of ICE |
| Foreign policy and defense | SupportsStrongly pro-Israel; opposes limiting presidential war powers. | Supportsreducing military spending to address domestic disasters |
Electoral history
| Cycle | Race | Dem | Rep | Margin | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | President | 28.6% | 71.4% | R+42.8 | 63.7% |
| 2024 | House | Not enough evidence | |||
| 2024 | Governor | 31.6% | 62.0% | R+30.4 | 63.7% |
| 2022 | House | Not enough evidence | |||
| 2020 | President | 30.3% | 69.7% | R+39.4 | 63.3% |